Season Record (17-8)
After going undefeated in week four, week five humbled me in a big way. Tom Brady forgot it was fourth down, Patrick Mahomes could not remain undefeated and Dak Prescott, unfortunately, went down with what looked to be a very significant injury. COVID-19 prevented the Patriots and Broncos from playing as well, so let's hope week six does not have any further setbacks, starting with the first matchup of the week.
5.Houston Texans (1-4) vs. Tennessee Titans (4-0)
The Houston Texans had a tough start to the season, but firing Bill O'Brien may have been the best thing that could have happened to them. They won their first game post-Bill with a convincing 30-14 over division rival Jacksonville. Brandin Cooks was an absolute monster in that game, with 161 receiving yards and a touchdown. On the opposite side, you have NFL patient zero in the Tennessee Titans, who are coming off their matchup with Buffalo on Tuesday night. They absolutely stomped the Bills, as Derrick Henry and Jonnu Smith both had two touchdowns in the 42-16 victory. The return of AJ Brown gives another weapon to Ryan Tannehill so this team is gonna improve even further.
The records are deceiving, as scheduling has a lot to do with these team's records through five weeks. Houston may be on the road, but with limited to no fans that is not much of a factor this season. What is impactful is the Titans on an incredible short week. Deshaun Watson should have another big day as the Texans will find a way to get their second straight win. Tennessee is favored by three points, so take the Texans in that spread. The current point total is 54 points and this game should be higher scoring. Take the over and start both teams, skill players, in fantasy.
Houston 31 - Tennessee 28
4.Los Angeles Rams (4-1) vs. San Francisco 49ers (2-3)
Divisional games are always fun and these two division rivals have had vastly different years. You have the Los Angeles Rams, who many had finishing at the bottom of the division, and they are killing it so far. Now yes they have only beat the NFC East so far, but they also played a talented Bills team tight as well. Then you have the 49ers, the Super Bowl finalists from last year, who have had injury concerns and just got beat down in Miami. Jimmy Garoppolo had an awful game as he was replaced by CJ Beathard. With a pass rush that is struggling as well, the 49ers are in trouble.
Now if you look below you might be wondering "really you are taking San Francisco after just shredding them" and the answer is yes. Divisional games are always tough and with another week for Jimmy to prepare I like him to bounce back. He knows that he has to perform this week or his job could be in jeopardy, so he needs to get his playmakers the ball. The Rams are favored by three but take San Francisco to win outright, or at the very least to cover the spread. As far as points go, this will be a high scoring game. At 50.5 currently, these two teams will just squeak over 50 points to hit the over in this game.
San Francisco 28 - Los Angeles 24
3. Cleveland Browns (4-1) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-0)
Yes you are reading that correctly the Cleveland Browns have won four of their first five games. Their victory over Indianapolis last week with no Nick Chubb shocked this writer and it is good to see Cleveland playing respectable football again. But sadly four wins and a loss does not make you first in the AFC North, as their opponents this week hold that title. The Steelers are undefeated, thanks to the return of Ben Roethlisberger and their solid defense. Charles Claypool stole the show against Philadelphia when the Canadian from Notre Dame scored four touchdowns.
This game should be great, with both teams scoring quite a few points. Big Ben is not on the road though, so he should be great once again. Baker has already thrown four interceptions this year and so I expect him to throw one, if not two, on Sunday. The Steelers are favored by four points and they should cover that spread against Baker and company. The 51.5 point line may look steep, but with so many playmakers for both teams take the over there.
Pittsburgh 35 - Cleveland 28
2. Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) vs. Buffalo Bills (4-1)
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The Chiefs were stunned on Sunday, losing to the Raiders and giving up 40 points in the process. You cannot expect to win games giving up that many points, as Mahomes and the offense still scored 32 of their own. Things will not get any easier either as they have to take on a solid Bills team on the road. Josh Allen however struggle against the Titans on Tuesday night. He threw two interceptions against the worst third-down defense in the league, so he will need to be better. The ground attack also has struggled, with Devin Singletary only picking up 25 yards.
Buffalo, like Tennessee, are on a short week, so that means less prep time to study Mahomes. While I do believe Buffalo will keep this game close, I just find it tough to see the Chiefs losing two games in a row. Clyde Edwards-Helaire will need to have a solid game here to help kill some clock for Kansas City, as he only has 104 yards in the last two games. If Edwards-Helaire can outplay Devin Singletary, then the Chiefs could run away with this one. No word yet on the total point spread, so if fifty-eight is my point total in this one, bet accordingly.
Kansas City Chiefs 31 - Buffalo 27
1. Green Bay Packers (4-0) vs. Tamps Bay Buccaneers (3-2)
The game of the week is the primetime game on Sunday afternoon, as Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers do battle once again. These two legendary quarterbacks have had good starts to the year, with Rodgers taking the edge despite an injured receiving core. Brady has an injured receiver of his own in Chris Godwin, so Mike Evan's will need to play well. If Godwin does play, this could be an incredibly high scoring game on both sides. Neither defense has been anything special this season, but both should be able to get pressure on the future hall of fame quarterbacks.
Davante Adams returning makes Aaron Rodgers even more dangerous. When those two are on the field together it is special to watch, which is why I give the Packers the edge in this game. Green Bay is favored by two points, so while this game may be close Green Bay will cover here. At 54 total points hammer the over on that one. With so many talented players on both sides, I would find it hard to believe that at least one team does not hit 30 points. If you have plans for Sunday afternoon or even, move them to watch this game.
Green Bay Packers 34 - Tampa Bay 30
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