Season Record (20-10)
Another week in the positives means I have correctly predicted two-thirds of the games so far this NFL season. Green Bay looked good early on last week, but ultimately got trampled by Tom and company while Patrick Mahomes righted the ship versus a talented Buffalo team on the road. Week seven brings plenty of quality, including some big divisional games. So without further adieu, my top five games to watch this week.
5. Green Bay Packers (4-1) vs. Houston Texans (1-5)
Two teams that had some tough to swallow losses a week ago square off in Houston. Deshaun Watson was incredible versus the Titans, throwing for an astounding 335 yards and four touchdowns, but still came up short. Aaron Rodgers started strong on the road against Tampa Bay before throwing his first two interceptions of the year that included a pick-six. The Bucs were able to score 38 unanswered points to win the game. So, Rodgers will be looking to bounce back in a big way.
This matchup is a must watch strictly due to the quarterbacks I just mentioned, as we could be in for a shootout. Rodgers will have the two best weapons in this game in Aaron Jones and Davante Adams who struggled to get going last week versus Tampa Bay. Expect both of those guys to get going and Green Bay to go up a few scores early. Houston will make things close in garbage time to cover the 56.5 point line, but Green Bay will also cover at -3.5.
Green Bay 35 - Houston 30
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (3-2)
The Buccanneers, as mentioned earlier, dismantled the Packers this past week. Tom Brady did not have to do much, as his defense and running back, Ronald Jones, did all of the heavy lifting. The reason this game is in my top five is because Tampa Bay has to travel to Las Vegas and take on their former coach. John Gruden led the Buccanneers to a Super Bowl XXXVII victory over the Raiders so you can bet he'd be motivated to win this one.
The Raiders will be well-rested as they are coming off their bye week. Will rust play a factor for Las Vegas? I don't believe so, but the Raiders need to keep Carr upright to have a chance. They are allowing less than two sacks per game, but the Buccaneers have a fierce pass rush they will need to contend with. Las Vegas will keep it close but sadly not cover the +3.0 spread. Take the under as well, as both teams will be looking to run the ball a lot in this game.
Tampa Bay 27 - Las Vegas 21
3. Chicago Bears (5-1) vs. Los Angeles Rams (4-2)
The shock of the NFL six weeks into the season has to be the emergence of the Chicago Bears. To have your week one starter be replaced and still continue to win games is impressive. They have even beaten some good teams like Tampa Bay and Carolina so far. The Rams, on the other hand, are coming off a tough divisional loss in San Francisco, as their struggling offense managed to score just 16 points. Cam Akers only saw one snap, as Darrell Henderson had 88 yards on the ground. Look for them to get Akers more involved in this game.
The Bears have been nothing special on offense, averaging 28th in yards per game and 27th in points per game. Foles will need to rely on Allen Robinson for a lot of their yardage, but that will be tough with Aaron Donald breathing down his neck. I think the Bears will finally be what we expected them to be, which is a subpar football team. The Rams are favored by -5.5 and I like them to cover that at home, likely by a touchdown. Henderson and Kupp will both get in the endzone in this one, but overall they will not go over the 45 point total.
Los Angeles 27 - Chicago 17
2. Seattle Seahawks (5-0) vs. Arizona Cardinals (4-2)
Another divisional game makes our list and it is one that is loaded with star power. On one side you have the undefeated Seattle Seahawks, who are coming off their bye week. Russell Wilson is the MVP front runner and the emergence of wide receiver DK Metcalf is a big reason why. The second-year wideout has been phenomenal, especially for fantasy owners. Then you have the upstart Cardinals who just embarrassed the undermanned Dallas Cowboys at Jerryworld 35 -10. They created four turnovers defensively and Kenyan Drake finally had a breakout game for the Cards, capped off with a huge 69-yard touchdown run late in the 4th quarter.
This game has the word trap written all over it and I will tell you why. Divisional games are often the toughest to predict, as going undefeated in your division, no matter how good you are, is tough. The NFC West is also arguably the best division in football right now so the question is which Arizona team shows up? They have been hot and cold to start the year, but I see them being burning hot at home against Seattle. Seattle is favored by -3.5, but I like Arizona to win outright, so if you are skeptical of that at least take Arizona to cover. The 56 point line may seem high but with all the skill players on both teams I think they will hit the over there as well. Plan your Sunday around this game.
Arizona 35 - Seattle 31
1. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-0) vs. Tennessee Titans (5-0)
This game was supposed to happen a few weeks ago, but I am glad it did not, as we got to see the emergence of Chase Claypool for Pittsburgh who has been in the endzone a lot the last two weeks. Throw in a defense that is coming off a huge effort where they embarrassed Baker Mayfield and the Browns last week and you got yourself a team that's on a roll. On the other side of the field you have the Titans, a team that made the AFC Championship last year and has not missed a step so far this season. They rolled over the Buffalo Bills two weeks ago and came back to beat the Texans last week in overtime thanks to Derrick Henry running all over Houston's defense.
Hopefully COVID-19 does not play a factor in this game this time around as it should be a great game in Nashville. People often give all the Titans credit to Derrick Henry, but Ryan Tannehill has been incredible since taking over last year. However, what this game boils down to is the defence. And to me, Pittsburgh has the edge there. If they can contain Derrick Henry, they have a great chance to remain undefeated. I can't see the Titans defense slowing down the Pittsburgh offense as they just have too many weapons in both the running and passing game. Pittsburgh at -2.5 should be covered, but take the under on 52.5 points as they will just miss that mark.
Pittsburgh 27 - Tennessee 24
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