Season Record (11-4)
Week three was a great one for the NFL, as lots of big-name teams battled in close games.
5. New Orleans Saints (1-2) vs. Detroit Lions (1-2)
Both of these teams had fairly high expectations heading into this season but have not looked great. The Lions backfield has been an absolute mess with Adrian Peterson getting lots of carries. Kenny Golladay looked great last week coming back from injury, so he should have a solid game. The Saints have looked awful so far on offense without Michael Thomas, so they will need to figure things out. Emmanuel Sanders and (hopefully) Jared Cook will need to be way more involved for them to win.
This game is truly a toss-up for me, as both have so many question marks. The Saints are favored by just four points, but even that seems steep. The point total is the 54.5 right now, but with weapons out for the Saints I do think the under is in play here. It will be close, but the Saints by a field goal.
New Orleans Saints 27 - Detroit Lions 24
4. Philadelphia Eagles (0-2-1) - San Francisco 49ers (2-1)
Boy, the Philadelphia Eagles have looked horrendous so far. After dropping their first two games against the Football Team and the Rams, they then tied against the lowly Bengals. Carson Wentz has played below his potential this year, no thanks to the injuries on offense, but there are major concerns for the Eagles right now. The 49ers have also been decimated by injuries, including at quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end.
Everything is telling me that San Francisco could win this game, but there is a gut feeling in me that thinks Philadelphia will win this game. The touchdown spread seems steep to me, but the point total seems low. I am taking the Philadelphia Eagles (not confidently) to win this game. The point total right now is 46, but this should be a higher scoring game than expected. Philadelphia wins, but on their final drive.
Philadelphia Eagles 28 - San Francisco 49ers 27
3. Atlanta Falcons (0-3) vs. Green Bay Packers (3-0)
Well, this game should be fun to watch cause it very well could be Dan Quinn's last one as the Falcons head coach. After blowing another lead to Nick Foles and a pretty average Bears offense he is definitely on the hot seat. Green Bay has looked dominant thru three games, despite no Davante Adams last week for the Packers. Allen Lazard stepped up in his absence as Aaron Rodgers has looked in near MVP form.
The only reason this game is so high on my list is due to the fantasy football studs playing in it. If you own either quarterback, Calvin Ridley, Lazard, Julio Jones, or Adams (if they play) you could be in store for a big points night from them. Green Bay should jump out to a big lead for Atlanta, which is great for them so they do not have to ultimately blow it in the fourth quarter. Normally 57.5 points would scare me, but not for this one. Green Bay will get close to 40 points in this one and Matt Ryan will throw for 350+. Bye, Bye Dan Quinn.
Green Bay Packers 38 - Atlanta Falcons 28
2. Buffalo Bills (3-0) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (2-1)
The Buffalo Bills have looked fantastic to start the year. After beating on the Dolphins and Jets, they jumped out to a big lead on the Rams and just held on. John Brown may not go in this game, but Stefon Diggs seems to have a great connection with Josh Allen early in his tenure there. Las Vegas struggled against New England but impressed against Carolina and New Orleans. This offense runs through (pun intended) Josh Jacobs, who is averaging over eighty yards per game so far.
The concern with taking the Raiders is if they trail early, can Derek Carr bring them back with his arm? Darren Waller should be solid, but no Ruggs means he will be leaning on Hunter Renfrow more to make some plays. This Buffalo defense is no joke so for that reason I have to take Buffalo. At 52.5, that seems too low for me, as Buffalo should score 30+. Las Vegas will keep it somewhat close and hit the over, but put your money on Buffalo outright.
Buffalo Bills 35 - Las Vegas Raiders 27
1. New England Patriots (2-1) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (3-0)
The Patriots and Chiefs have had some phenomenal games over the last few years and I think they could be in store for another one. Those prior matchups were Brady versus Mahomes, but with Cam Newton at the helm for New England, we get a different look at this game. Cam only has 2 passing touchdowns so far this year, but New England as a team already has seven rushing touchdowns. Kansas City has been a near-polar opposite, scoring just two rushing touchdowns as a team but Patrick Mahomes has passed for nine.
If I was a Patriots fan I would be hoping to get the ball first and go down and score. The longer you keep the Chiefs offense off the field the better chance you have of upsetting. The Patriots need the ball for at least 35 minutes and Patriot's rushing attack should be able to do that. The 53.5 points total right now intrigues me, as last year's game finished just 23-16. This one will be a bit higher, but Kansas City only takes it by a field goal and still hits the under.
Kansas City Chiefs 24 - New England Patriots 21
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