Season Record (30-15)
Week nine in the NFL was an absolute rollercoaster ride and I loved it. We saw the Seahawks get 7 sacks, yet still give up 44 points and lose in Buffalo. We also witnessed Tom Brady look like Bom Trady, as the Buccaneers got crushed by the division rival Saints 38-3. It was all capped off with a typical New York Jets fourth-quarter meltdown as they lost to the New England Patriots 30-27. But that was week nine and we are now on to week 10 of the NFL season. So let's see what the games to watch are this week.
5. Tampa Bay Buccanneers (6-3) vs. Carolina Panthers (3-6)
Tough week for both of these teams but for two different reasons. Sure, both Tampa Bay and Carolina lost last week, but one came with a much greater cost. Tampa Bay was embarrassed at home, but at least they can bounce back with a healthy offense. Carolina found themselves hurting once again, as star running back, Christian McCaffrey, re-aggravated his prior injury in just his first game back since week two. This means Mike Davis will once again be the team's top running back moving forward.
I wanted to take Carolina in this one, but with no Christian McCaffrey, I just cannot see them pulling it off at home. Tom and company will not be in a great mood after last week either, so I see this as a statement game for Tampa more than anything. Tampa is 5.5 point favorites and they will cover that line for sure. I am predicting they will score over 30 points, which means you can hammer the 50.5 team total as well.
Tampa Bay 38- Carolina 24
4. Buffalo Bills (7-2) vs. Arizona Cardinals (5-3)
Two young quarterbacks, both just outside the MVP discussion, will go to battle in Arizona. Josh Allen who started off hot but cooled in recent weeks, jumped right back into the discussion with his performance versus Seattle on Sunday. He threw for 415 yards and three touchdowns, most of which came in the first half, so the Bills are coming into this game playing well. The Cardinals lost to Buffalo's AFC East rival Miami Dolphins 34-31 last week. Kyler threw for 283 yards and rushed for another 107, so it wasn't his lack of effort lost Arizona that game.
Home field won't be much of a factor in this game, as two of Arizona's three losses have come at State Farm Stadium. I do not see this game being as high scoring as the games each team played in last week, so take the under at 56.5. The Cardinals are favored by one, but I like Buffalo to win this one on a last-second field goal. Another win for Buffalo here could mean Josh Allen is moved up in the MVP talks.
Buffalo 27 - Arizona 24
3. Los Angeles Chargers (2-6) vs. Miami Dolphins (5-3)
Sunday's rookie battle in Miami will surely be must-watch television. Justin Herbert has been the Chargers starter for most of the year and has played great. Los Angeles may be losing a ton of close games, but Herbert has 17 touchdown passes already this year. The wins will come eventually and this could be a great opportunity to get one. Herbert's rookie counterpart Tua Tagovailoa is undefeated and has yet to throw an interception, but that is in just two games as the Dolphins starting quarterback.
Both teams have pretty solid defenses so this game should come down to the quarterback play. Neither team is short on weapons, but the best weapon is Keenan Allen for the Chargers. He has played like a top-five wide receiver in the league this year and I think he shows that skill once again in this contest. The Chargers will finally find a way to win a close game and their defense will cause the crucial turnover on Tua to get it done.
Los Angeles 31 - Miami 27
2. Seattle Seahawks (6-2) vs. Los Angeles Rams (5-3)
Once again, one of my must-watch games of the week comes in the form of an NFC West divisional game. But with two teams above .500 at the midway point of the season, how could you not? The Rams, who were beaten handily by the Dolphins in their last game, are coming off their bye week and should be extra prepared for a potent Seattle offense. Seattle was also beaten handily by the Buffalo Bills, so they will need to regroup and not just rely on Russell Wilson to bail out their subpar defense.
The Rams, to me, are always a tough team to predict because we do not know which Jared Goff is going to show up. We could see the one that dominated the Eagles in week two, or we could see the one that was ice cold against the 49ers in week six. It is because of that uncertainty that I am taking Russell Wilson and the Seahawks. They will get some pressure on Goff and knock him off his game. The 56 point spread is a tough one, so I would take the under on that. Seattle covers as two-point underdogs and wins by a field goal.
Seattle 28 - Los Angeles 24
1. Indianapolis Colts (5-3) vs. Tennessee Titans (6-2)
Finally, a Thursday night game that we can actually get excited about. The Colts struggled to score last week against the tough Baltimore Ravens, putting up just 10 points despite 339 yards of offense - 73 more than the Ravens managed. The Titans, on the other hand, took care of business at home against the Bears. They held the Bears struggling offense to just 17 points, and the Titans won the turnover battle 2-0.
The key to this game is Derrick Henry. The Colts rushing defense is one of the very best, so if they can force Ryan Tannehill to beat them they will have a great chance in this game. However, if Henry goes over 100 yards, the Colts could be in deep trouble. Phillip Rivers does not have an elite wide receiver to go to when the Colts are trailing, so they need to get up early and establish the run game with Jonathan Taylor. I would love to take the Colts, but in divisional games between two close teams, I tend to go with the home team. The Titans will win, cover the 2 point spread and will cover the 48.5 point total as well.
Tennessee 30 - Indianapolis 24
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